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Modelling Conditional Correlations for Risk Diversification in Crude Oil Markets
http://hdl.handle.net/2261/26677
http://hdl.handle.net/2261/26677dbe1c044-4a3d-447f-a6f4-70028a85258e
| Item type | テクニカルレポート / Technical Report(1) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2013-05-31 | |||||
| タイトル | ||||||
| タイトル | Modelling Conditional Correlations for Risk Diversification in Crude Oil Markets | |||||
| 言語 | ||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||
| キーワード | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||
| 主題 | Conditional correlations | |||||
| キーワード | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||
| 主題 | crude oil spot prices | |||||
| キーワード | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||
| 主題 | forward prices, futures prices | |||||
| キーワード | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||
| 主題 | risk diversification | |||||
| キーワード | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||
| 主題 | JEL Classifications: C22, C32, G17, G32 | |||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||
| 資源 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh | |||||
| タイプ | technical report | |||||
| アクセス権 | ||||||
| アクセス権 | metadata only access | |||||
| アクセス権URI | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_14cb | |||||
| 著者 |
Chang, Chia-Lin
× Chang, Chia-Lin× McAleer, Michael× Roengchai, Tansuchat |
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| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Department of Applied Economics National Chung Hsing University Taichung, Taiwan | |||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Econometric Institute Erasmus School of Economics Erasmus University Rotterdam | |||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Tinbergen Institute The Netherlands | |||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Center for International Research on the Japanese Economy (CIRJE) Faculty of Economics University of Tokyo | |||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Faculty of Economics Maejo University Thailand | |||||
| 著者所属 | ||||||
| 著者所属 | Faculty of Economics Chiang Mai University Thailand | |||||
| 抄録 | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
| 内容記述 | This paper estimates univariate and multivariate conditional volatility and conditional correlation models of spot, forward and futures returns from three major benchmarks of international crude oil markets, namely Brent, WTI and Dubai, to aid in risk diversification. Conditional correlations are estimated using the CCC model of Bollerslev (1990), VARMAGARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003), VARMA-AGARCH model of McAleer et al. (2009), and DCC model of Engle (2002). The paper also presents the ARCH and GARCH effects for returns and shows the presence of significant interdependences in the conditional volatilities across returns for each market. The estimates of volatility spillovers and asymmetric effects for negative and positive shocks on conditional variance suggest that VARMA-GARCH is superior to the VARMA-AGARCH model. In addition, the DCC model gives statistically significant estimates for the returns in each market, which shows that constant conditional correlations do not hold in practice. | |||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
| 内容記述 | 本文フィルはリンク先を参照のこと | |||||
| 書誌情報 |
Discussion paper series. CIRJE-F 巻 CIRJE-F-640, 発行日 2009-08 |
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| 書誌レコードID | ||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||
| 収録物識別子 | AA11450569 | |||||
| フォーマット | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
| 内容記述 | application/pdf | |||||
| 日本十進分類法 | ||||||
| 主題Scheme | NDC | |||||
| 主題 | 335 | |||||
| 出版者 | ||||||
| 出版者 | 日本経済国際共同センター | |||||
| 出版者別名 | ||||||
| Center for International Research on the Japanese Economy | ||||||
| 関係URI | ||||||
| 識別子タイプ | URI | |||||
| 関連識別子 | http://www.cirje.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/research/dp/2009/2009cf640ab.html | |||||
