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  1. 133 社会科学研究所
  2. 社會科學研究
  3. 56
  4. 2
  1. 0 資料タイプ別
  2. 30 紀要・部局刊行物
  3. 社會科學研究
  4. 56
  5. 2

財政赤字はなぜ拡大したのか? : 政治的環境の変化と90年代の財政運営

http://hdl.handle.net/2261/15424
1e78cce3-78f0-4fec-8f98-7ce600a014ea
名前 / ファイル ライセンス アクション
KJ00004192068.pdf KJ00004192068.pdf (1.0 MB)
Item type 紀要論文 / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1)
公開日 2008-09-19
タイトル
タイトル 財政赤字はなぜ拡大したのか? : 政治的環境の変化と90年代の財政運営
言語
言語 jpn
キーワード
主題 財政赤字
主題Scheme Other
キーワード
主題 課税平準化
主題Scheme Other
キーワード
主題 政治的環境
主題Scheme Other
キーワード
主題 連立政権
主題Scheme Other
キーワード
主題 政権基盤の脆弱化
主題Scheme Other
資源タイプ
資源 http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
タイプ departmental bulletin paper
その他のタイトル
その他のタイトル Why did Japan's Fiscal Condition Deteriorate Markedly in the 1990s?
著者 中里, 透

× 中里, 透

WEKO 107841

中里, 透

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著者別名
識別子
識別子 107842
識別子Scheme WEKO
姓名
姓名 Nakazato, Toru
著者所属
著者所属 上智大学経済学部
抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 本稿では1990年代に財政赤字の拡大が生じた理由について,政治的環境の変化に留意しつつ検討を行なった.本稿の分析によれば,現実の財政赤字の相当程度はこの間に日本経済に生じたショックに対する適切な反応(課税平準化)の結果としてとらえられるが,課税平準化のもとでの「最適な」赤字の水準と比較した場合に現実の財政赤字はなお過大なものとなっており,経済的要因以外の理由によって財政赤字のさらなる拡大が生じた可能性が示唆される.財政赤字と政治的環境の関係を扱った一連の研究によれば,連立政権への移行や政権基盤の脆弱化が財政赤字の拡大につながる可能性があることから,「過大な」財政赤字を政治的要因によって説明する推定を行なったところ,内閣支持率や衆議院における自民党議席率が「過大な」財政赤字と有意な負の相関をもっていることが確認された.この推定結果は90年代に生じた政治的環境の変化(連立政権への移行と政権基盤の脆弱化).と財政赤字の拡大の間に一定の関係があることを示唆するものである.
抄録
内容記述タイプ Abstract
内容記述 This paper investigates why Japan's fiscal condition deteriorated markedly in the 1990s. The tax smoothing hypothesis, which implies that budget deficits and surpluses are used optimally to minimize the distortionally effects of taxation, alone cannot provide complete answer to this question. Thus we move to the political economy model of fiscal policy and investigate the political determinants of budget deficits. We find that cabinet approval rating and LDP's share of the seats in the Lower House are negatively correlated with excessive deficits. These findings are consistent with the theoretical predictions : weak or fragmented coalition governments have large deficits. Our results suggest that fiscal imbalance was partly attributable to the political change in the 1990s.
書誌情報 社會科學研究

巻 56, 号 2, p. 55-69, 発行日 2005-02-07
ISSN
収録物識別子タイプ ISSN
収録物識別子 03873307
書誌レコードID
収録物識別子タイプ NCID
収録物識別子 AN00108966
フォーマット
内容記述タイプ Other
内容記述 application/pdf
日本十進分類法
主題 300
主題Scheme NDC
出版者
出版者 東京大学社会科学研究所
出版者別名
Institute of Social Science, The University of Tokyo
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